KETIKA EKONOMI BICARA: MENGURAI JEJAK FAKTOR MAKROEKONOMI PADA PERFORMA SAHAM PT GOTO DI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor makroekonomi
terhadap performa saham PT GoTo, salah satu perusahaan teknologi
terkemuka di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif,
penelitian ini mengumpulkan data historis harga saham PT GoTo dan data
makroekonomi, termasuk inflasi, Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB), suku bunga,
dan nilai tukar, selama periode 5 tahun terakhir. Metodologi yang digunakan
mencakup analisis regresi untuk mengukur pengaruh faktor-faktor
makroekonomi terhadap performa saham, serta penggunaan standar deviasi
untuk mengukur volatilitas saham. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa
terdapat hubungan signifikan antara faktor makroekonomi dan performa
saham PT GoTo, di mana inflasi dan suku bunga memiliki dampak yang paling
dominan. Temuan ini memberikan wawasan penting bagi investor dan
pemangku kepentingan dalam pengambilan keputusan investasi, serta
menambah literatur yang ada mengenai hubungan antara makroekonomi dan
performa saham di pasar modal Indonesia. Penelitian ini diharapkan dapat
menjadi referensi bagi studi lebih lanjut mengenai dinamika pasar modal dan
pengaruh faktor ekonomi terhadap nilai saham perusahaan teknologi di
Indonesia.

This study aims to analyze the impact of macroeconomic factors on the stock
performance of PT GoTo, one of Indonesia's leading technology companies.
Utilizing a quantitative approach, this research collects historical stock price
data of PT GoTo and macroeconomic data, including inflation, Gross Domestic
Product (GDP), interest rates, and exchange rates, over a period of 5 years. The
methodology employed includes regression analysis to measure the influence
of macroeconomic factors on stock performance, as well as the use of
standard deviation to assess stock volatility. The analysis results indicate a
significant relationship between macroeconomic factors and the stock
performance of PT GoTo, with inflation and interest rates having the most
dominant impact. These findings provide important insights for investors and
stakeholders in making investment decisions, as well as contribute to the
existing literature on the relationship between macroeconomics and stock
performance in the Indonesian capital market. This research is expected to
serve as a reference for further studies on the dynamics of the capital market
and the influence of economic factors on the stock values of technology
companies in Indonesia.